Saturday, June 7, 2008

'Demographic Winter' - The Threat Is Real

Here's a series of articles by the Christian Heritage Party, analyzing the population trends. Their message is clear: Lack of children will lead to a 'Demographic Winter'; with not enough young people to replace the aging population, our countries will experience an economic collapse and social deterioration.

Part 1: 'Demographic winter' is really coming…
You may or may not believe in 'global warming'; I do not: I think it's a power grab by international socialists. But I'll concede that there are arguments being made on both sides or that debate.
...
But nobody is arguing with the demographers who are warning of a soon-coming 'demographic winter'.
Part 2: How did we get into this mess?
As we reported almost a decade ago in the CHP Communiqué, UNFPA's statisticians have been tracking demographics for a long time; they predicted a decade ago that the world's population will peak at about 9 billion around 2030; then it will go into a decline steeper and longer than the population "boom" of the last half of the 20th century.

Yet even while they were pumping out those statistics, UNFPA was funding abortion and other "population control" measures around the world!
Part 3: Specific causes of 'demographic winter'.
Last year a music video out of Québec became the most-downloaded video in Canada—although it was in French (one version with English subtitles). The second stanza said:

"Your great-great grandmother had 15 children;
your great-grandmother had about the same.
Your grandmother had three, that was enough;
your mother didn't want any—you were an accident.
And you, little lady, you go from boyfriend to boyfriend;
and when you mess up, you get an abortion.
And at night you dream of a big table, surrounded by children
And you wake up crying."
Part 4: Trends en route to 'demographic winter'.
We looked at eight social trends that are behind the world's coming 'demographic winter'— the crisis of depopulation that will result in vastly more golden-agers than young people, and will plunge the world into a depression worse than the 'Dirty Thirties'. But there are already social consequences from those trends.

We noted that easy divorce meant less family stability, and fewer children per family. But easy divorce has had other consequences:
Part 5: Can we avoid 'demographic winter'? Maybe.
Japan has done the world a favour by paddling into the turbulent waters of demographic winter before the rest of us. After the second World War, Japan did not have the 'baby boom' the West experienced. As a result, they're already deep into the problems of an aging population. Most of Japan's population is over 50.

In our consumer economies, spending peaks at age 48. A little over a decade ago, when Japan's average age passed that level, the Nikkei Stock Index tanked, losing almost 80% of its book value.
'Demographic Winter' is already taking its toll on Japan. Unless we change our ways and embrace the Culture of Life - Canada is next. And so are all other developed nations.

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