Sunday, March 30, 2008

Guess What - Canada Needs Babies

At least there is a national newspaper ready to admit that there is a demographic crisis in Canada.
In 2006, a whopping 15.3 per cent of the workforce was 55 years and older, up from 11.7 per cent just five years earlier. Geoff Bowlby, director of StatsCan's labour statistics division, warns that it's "inevitable that at some point soon, we're going to see a big onslaught of retirements of baby boomers that should continue for about 20 years."
If you think the immigration is the solution - think again:
According to a 2006 Statistics Canada report called, Canada's Population by Age and Sex, "Even a substantial increase in the number of immigrants could not stop Canada's population aging."

The report states: "if Canada was to admit four times as many immigrants per year, the population's median age would still increase, from the current 38.8 to 44.1 years in 2056. This would mean an average of about one million immigrants per year for the next 50 years. Regardless, the proportion of seniors would increase from the current 13.2 per cent to 22.3 per cent in 2056."

There are many good things about an aging population but the negatives are pretty obvious. Who, for instance, will pay for all of those hip replacements and social programs Canadians have grown to love?
Admitting a million immigrants per year won't stop the population aging. Especially if Canadian-born folks keep aborting and contracepting themselves out of existence. But does anyone really believe ethnic communities won't mind paying for our healthcare with their tax money? Why would they? And who could force them if they refuse? Even with the immigration levels as they are (250,000 a year) ethnic communities in 2056 will have more votes than today's Liberals and Conservatives combined; enough to vote today's major parties out of power.

Like it or not there's only one solution to Canada's demographic crisis:
"The only way to stop the Canadian aging process," states the 2006 StatsCan report, "is to increase fertility."

It's no accident that the world's most heavily taxed industrialized countries also have the lowest fertility rates. When Canadians have to work half the year just to pay the tax man, babies become economically impossible. By the time a couple achieves financial stability, the woman has often passed her best-before-date in terms of fertility.

So, what are governments doing to help stem this impending demographic disaster? Not much. Stephen Harper's Conservative government has tweaked the tax law here and there to make things a bit easier on young families, but much more needs to be done.

Meanwhile, the NDs and Liberals keep talking about "building" more day-care spaces as if that's going to help a young couple have children. It will just increase the tax burden and delay child bearing until later.
In other words - nanny state can't replace traditional family. A society that abandons family values and starts slaughtering its unborn babies for convenience ends up paying the price - in their own lifetime.

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